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Sea Surface Temperatures El Niño-Southern Oscillation El Niño Temperature Anomalies Ocean Temperature Changes Climate Patterns ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) Ocean Temperature El Niño Phenomenon Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction

Forecasters See Rising Odds of a Very Strong El Niño in 2026

New model runs point to Pacific warming near 3°C that could lift global temperatures to new records.

NOAA Forecasts El Niño Year as Tropical Pacific Warms Rapidly

NOAA Sees 61% Chance El Niño Forms by Mid-2026

NOAA Puts El Niño on Watch With 61% Odds for May–July, Flags 25% ‘Very Strong’ Risk

Models Point to Possible Strong El Niño in 2026 as Scientists Urge Caution

El Niño Odds Rise for Late 2026, Backed by Subsurface Pacific Heat and Wind Shifts

EU Monitor: February 2026 Was the Fifth-Warmest February on Record

Rapid El Niño Build Puts 2027 on Track for Record Heat, With 2026 at Risk

NOAA Confirms La Niña, Calling It a Weak Event With Uncertain Winter Impacts

La Niña Watch in Effect as Warm Pacific Clouds U.S. Winter Outlook

NOAA Issues La Niña Watch, Lifts Odds to 71% for Fall and 54% for Winter

2024 Confirmed as Warmest Year on Record, Surpassing 1.5°C Threshold

Weak La Niña Likely to Develop, Says WMO