Economics ❯ Recession

Indicators

Stock Market Unemployment Consumer Confidence Sahm Rule GDP Job Growth Unemployment Rate Market Performance Employment Data Investment Economic Growth Investor Behavior Economic Policy Business Cycle Economic Activity Inflation Mortgage Demand Corporate Profits GDP Contraction Job Market Labor Market Trends Predictions Negative Growth Labor Market Consumer Spending

Goldman Lifts U.S. Recession Odds for 2026 to 30% as Oil Shock Deepens

Oil at $100-plus has become the key risk investors link to higher recession odds.

Zandi Warns U.S. Is on the Brink of Recession as Nearly a Third of GDP Sits in High‑Risk States