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Asteroid 2024 YR4 No Longer Earth Threat, Moon Impact Risk Rises

The asteroid, once deemed a high-risk Earth impactor, now has a 3.8% chance of striking the Moon in 2032, with potential implications for space infrastructure.

This image shows Webb’s recent observation of the asteroid 2024 YR4 using both its NIRCam (Near-Infrared Camera) and MIRI (Mid-Infrared Instrument). Data from NIRCam shows reflected light, while the MIRI observations show thermal light.
The asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 2% chance of striking the moon in 2032.
Image

Overview

  • Asteroid 2024 YR4, initially feared to have a 3.1% chance of hitting Earth in 2032, is now confirmed to pose no significant threat to the planet.
  • The James Webb Space Telescope has refined the asteroid's size to approximately 60 meters, making it the smallest object ever directly measured by the observatory.
  • The asteroid's Moon impact probability has increased to 3.8%, raising concerns about potential debris that could affect human space operations.
  • Webb's observations revealed unique characteristics, including a fast spin and a surface dominated by fist-sized rocks, differing from larger asteroids.
  • Further observations are scheduled for May 2025 before the asteroid moves out of range, contributing to planetary defense research and understanding of near-Earth objects.