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Tropical Meteorology

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NHC Expands Watch to Three Atlantic Disturbances as One Wave’s 7‑Day Odds Rise

A strengthening El Niño is increasing wind shear and working with Saharan dust to likely suppress Atlantic storm formation this season.

Forecasters Say El Niño Is Likely Within Months, Strength Uncertain

NOAA Issues El Niño Watch, Putting 62% Odds on Summer Onset

NOAA: La Niña Weakens, Neutral Summer Likely as El Niño Odds Rise for Late 2026