Probability Theory

Risk Analysis Calibration Techniques Risk Assessment

Math Revives 'Doomsday Argument' Suggesting About 17,100 Years Left at Current Birth Rates

A 95 percent statistical bound that rests on the assumption our birth rank is random, relying on current birth rates to turn a population cap into a time span.

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last yr.

Study Finds 1-in-156 Lifetime Odds of Asteroid Impact