NOAA

Space Weather Prediction Center National Hurricane Center Hurricane Center Space Weather Prediction Weather Predictions NASA Hurricane Forecasting Climate Predictions Weather Alerts Climate Prediction Center Climate Prediction Space Weather Monitoring Weather Services Funding Cuts Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project Storm Prediction Center

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NOAA Raises Odds of a Below‑Normal 2026 Atlantic Season to 75%

Scientists attribute the downgrade to a stronger El Niño increasing Atlantic wind shear, a change that lowers storm odds yet still leaves travel and inland rainfall risks for Florida visitors.