Science ❯Astronomy ❯Asteroids ❯Risk Assessment

Impact Probability

Asteroid 2024 YR4 Carries 4% Chance of Moon Impact After Earth Risk Cleared

The frozen probability highlights blind spots in sun-ward asteroid detection, bolstering ESA’s plan for the NEOMIR infrared telescope.

Asteroid 2024 YR4 No Longer Threatens Earth, But Risk to Moon Persists

NASA Revises Impact Risk for Asteroid 2024 YR4 After New Data

Asteroid 2024 YR4's Earth Impact Risk Raised to 3.1%, Highest Ever Recorded

NASA Monitors 'City-Killer' Asteroid with 3.1% Chance of Earth Impact in 2032

Asteroid 2024 YR4 Has 1.2% Chance of Earth Impact in 2032

Asteroid 2024 YR4 Poses 1-in-83 Risk of Earth Impact in 2032