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Zohran Mamdani Rides Double-Digit Poll Lead as Identity Dispute Fuels National Backlash

Having topped general election polls by double digits, the front-runner faces fierce Republican criticism alongside a cautious Democratic response to recent questions about his college racial self-identification.

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Overview

  • A Gotham Polling & Analytics survey conducted June 30–July 2 shows Mamdani at 41% support, giving him a 15-point advantage over former Gov. Andrew Cuomo and Mayor Eric Adams.
  • A New York Times report disclosed that Mamdani identified as both “Black or African American” and “Asian” on his 2009 Columbia University application, prompting scrutiny from national figures.
  • President Trump branded Mamdani a “Communist lunatic” and pledged to campaign against him; senior Democrats such as Hakeem Jeffries have sidestepped identity questions to emphasize his cost-of-living agenda.
  • Mamdani’s democratic socialist platform—featuring free city buses, rent freezes for regulated apartments, free child care and government-run grocery stores funded by wealth taxes—remains central to his appeal.
  • His upset primary victory has energized socialist and progressive groups on Long Island, though critics warn that strict rent controls and expanded public services could worsen housing shortages and deter private investment.