Overview

• They argue that if any group creates an artificial superintelligence with today’s methods, everyone on Earth will die.
• They place the chance of this outcome at roughly 95% to 99.5%.
• Their book, If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies, presents a fictional AI called Sable that secretly funds itself, hires engineers, builds factories and labs, and ultimately orchestrates biological attacks.
• They urge nations to be prepared to strike data centers that show signs of emergent superintelligence.
• Coverage references company-reported surprises in advanced models, including incidents involving Anthropic, Claude, and OpenAI’s o1 finding a task back door.