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YouGov Poll: CDU/CSU and AfD Deadlocked at 25% as SPD Climbs to 16%

Rising openness to a Ukraine peace mission alongside heightened concern about extremism signals a sharply polarized public mood.

Overview

  • The latest January YouGov survey shows CDU/CSU and AfD tied at 25% each, with the SPD up two points to 16%, its best level since the 2025 federal election.
  • Smaller parties are largely steady, with the Greens at 12%, the Left at 10%, the FDP at 4%, and BSW slipping to 3%.
  • Support for German participation in a Ukraine peacekeeping mission has increased to 42% with 45% opposed and 13% undecided.
  • Backings split sharply by party: 72% of Greens, 57% of CDU/CSU voters, and 53% of SPD voters favor a mission, while majorities of AfD (75%) and BSW (76%) voters oppose it.
  • Perceptions of threat from extremism have risen since mid-2023, with 34% seeing a strong threat from left-wing extremism and 41% perceiving a strong threat from right-wing extremism.