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Yen Rallies to Two-Month High After NY Fed Rate Checks Raise Intervention Risk

Traders now price a greater chance of coordinated U.S.–Japan action following Tokyo's warning to counter speculative moves.

Overview

  • The New York Federal Reserve checked dollar–yen rates on Friday, a step dealers view as a precursor to action, sending the pair from about 157.5 to the mid‑155s.
  • The yen extended gains at the Asia open to roughly 154 per dollar, the dollar fell broadly, and the Nikkei slid nearly 2% as liquidity thinned on regional holidays.
  • Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi pledged to take necessary steps against speculative or very abnormal moves, while top currency officials said they are in close contact with U.S. counterparts.
  • Officials have not confirmed any intervention, and market participants are watching Bank of Japan data due Monday evening in Tokyo for signs of official buying.
  • Crowded short‑yen positions are being unwound, and safe‑haven flows lifted gold above $5,000 and silver above $100, highlighting elevated volatility across assets.