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Yen Near Record Lows as BOJ’s Cautious Tone Blunts Impact of Rate Hike

Cautious guidance from Governor Kazuo Ueda after Friday’s rate increase left markets unconvinced of faster tightening, keeping yield gaps in focus.

Overview

  • Japan’s top currency officials, including Atsushi Mimura and Minoru Kihara, warned about “one-sided and sharp” moves and hinted at possible intervention, which only briefly checked yen selling.
  • The dollar hovered near 157.5 yen as the euro stayed close to a record around 184.5 and the Swiss franc briefly touched a record near 198.3, while the Aussie traded around 104.2 yen.
  • The Bank of Japan raised its policy rate by 25 basis points to 0.75%, a three-decade high, with Governor Ueda stressing that any further hikes will depend on incoming data.
  • Japanese government bonds sold off alongside the currency moves, pushing the 10-year yield above 2% for the first time since 1999.
  • Traders are watching Ueda’s Christmas Day remarks at Keidanren for policy signals as analysts highlight wider AustraliaJapan yield differentials that support AUD/JPY, with CBA projecting about 109 by March.