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Yen Falls to One-Year Lows on U.S. Tariffs and BOJ Rate Outlook

Trading remained subdued in Tokyo following U.S. tariff threats that drove up dollar demand alongside expectations of delayed BOJ rate increases.

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Overview

  • On July 8, the yen fell by 84 sen to around ¥146.03–¥146.05 per dollar and hit about ¥171.74–¥171.78 against the euro, marking its weakest levels since July 2024.
  • The Trump administration announced new tariffs on Japan and other trading partners, heightening uncertainty in global markets.
  • Market participants priced in postponed Bank of Japan interest rate hikes, fueling dollar-buying against the yen.
  • Forex brokers reported subdued afternoon trading as investors awaited fresh catalysts in the absence of new stimuli.
  • The yen’s recent swings reflect ongoing U.S.-Japan trade tensions coupled with the BOJ’s commitment to ultra-loose monetary policy.