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Yale Poll Reveals Generational Shift as Youngest Voters Favor GOP

New polling shows a Republican lead among voters aged 18–21 and lingering Democratic support among older millennials, highlighting a generational divide ahead of the 2026 midterms.

Overview

  • The Spring 2025 Yale Youth Poll finds voters aged 18–21 favor Republicans by 11.7 points, while those aged 22–29 lean Democratic by 6.4 points.
  • Vice President JD Vance is the most popular Republican figure among young voters, with a net favorability of +54 among Republicans under 30.
  • President Joe Biden, Donald Trump, and Kamala Harris all hold negative favorability ratings among voters under 30, with Biden's at -19.5, the lowest of the three.
  • Democrats face challenges with declining youth support, perceptions of elitism, and upcoming Senate retirements in Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire.
  • The poll surveyed 4,100 registered voters, including an oversample of 2,024 aged 18–29, with a margin of error of ±1.9 percentage points for the full sample.

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