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Yale AI Uses Smartwatch ECGs to Detect Structural Heart Disease in Prospective Study

In 600 patients, preliminary smartwatch results reached roughly 86% sensitivity with 87% specificity, prompting calls for broader confirmation.

Overview

  • The model was trained on 266,054 12-lead ECGs matched to echocardiograms from 110,006 patients at Yale New Haven Hospital between 2015 and 2023.
  • External validation included 44,591 adults from four community hospitals and 3,014 participants from the ELSA-Brasil population study.
  • In smartwatch testing, overall performance was about 88% for detecting multiple structural diseases versus 92% when using single-lead signals captured on hospital equipment.
  • Only about 5% of the 600 participants had echocardiogram-confirmed disease—15 with low ejection fraction, five with severe left-sided valvular disease, and one with severe left ventricular hypertrophy—limiting precision of predictive values.
  • Researchers added simulated noise during training to bolster robustness for real-world signals, and the findings are being presented at AHA Scientific Sessions 2025 with plans for larger, more diverse evaluations and workflow studies.