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XRP Tests Key Support as Derivatives Bias Clashes With ETF Inflows

Short‑term price pressure from bearish futures and negative funding could deepen the pullback even as ETF capital and XRPL upgrades support a constructive medium‑term case.

Overview

  • XRP pulled back into the $1.33–$1.39 band after recent selling, with several outlets reporting a drop to about $1.34 on Thursday that put the token close to its 200‑day exponential moving average near $1.34.
  • Derivatives data show a bearish tilt with a long‑to‑short ratio near 0.83 and negative funding rates, meaning more traders are short and shorts are paying longs, which can amplify downward moves if leverage is swept.
  • U.S. spot XRP ETFs have provided steady demand, logging 11 consecutive inflow sessions for roughly $1.68 billion in cumulative net flows, a key institutional support that underpins the medium‑term outlook.
  • Protocol developments give another potential upside trigger: XRPL 3.4.0 reached a beta milestone and the Lending Protocol amendment is in validator voting with about 31.4% support so far versus the 80% needed to activate the change.
  • Traders are watching a tight technical range where holding $1.30–$1.35 would keep the constructive moving‑average structure intact and a sustained break above $1.45–$1.50 would be required to restore stronger momentum and broaden participation.