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XRP Steadies Near $3 as ETF Odds Climb and Shorts Swell

A decisive move past $3.29 is seen as the trigger for momentum following the appeals dismissal in SEC v. Ripple.

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Overview

  • U.S. appellate proceedings ended after the Second Circuit approved a joint dismissal of appeals, and coverage reports a final settlement including about a $125 million penalty and confirmation that secondary-market XRP sales are not securities.
  • Following the legal resolution, Franklin Templeton, WisdomTree, 21Shares and Grayscale filed amended spot-XRP ETF applications, with prediction markets putting approval odds near 98%.
  • XRP trades around $3.00–$3.06 on multi‑billion dollar daily volume, with a heavy supply zone at $3.26–$3.29 and technical targets cited at $3.43–$3.84 if that band is cleared.
  • On‑chain activity surged in August, with settlement volumes up roughly 500% and a single day near 844 million XRP, while large wallets accumulated about 250 million XRP over eight days.
  • Derivatives positioning skews bearish with roughly $1.16 billion in shorts versus $519 million in longs, heightening volatility risk as traders track Fed rate‑cut expectations and bitcoin correlation.