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XRP Rally Stumbles as Ledger Activity Falls and Big Token Flows Hit Exchanges

Large exchange inflows, plunging ledger activity, postponed ETF effective dates increase the chance that XRP's late‑summer rally will reverse.

Overview

  • XRP is trading around $1.33–$1.38 with immediate support near $1.30–$1.33 and resistance at $1.40–$1.45, leaving the token range‑bound after its August gains.
  • A CryptoQuant chart shows about 91.2 million XRP flowed to Binance on Sept. 11, 2026, a large single‑day deposit that analysts say raises short‑term supply risk if further exchange inflows continue.
  • Data from SoSoValue and on‑chain trackers report sharp drops in ledger use with total transactions down about 55.6%, successful transactions down about 59.5% and active users down roughly 42.3%, signaling fading retail engagement.
  • Two ETF sponsors moved effective launch dates to Oct. 11, 2026 — Roundhill for an XRP covered‑call fund and Teucrium/Listed Funds Trust for a 2x short daily XRP ETF — while existing listed ETFs hold about $1.45 billion with zero net inflows recorded on Sept. 11.
  • Public and institutional forecasts conflict on the outlook: Ripple CTO Emeritus David Schwartz said XRP could eventually 'flip' Bitcoin if XRP grows faster, market‑cap math puts that price near $24.50, and Standard Chartered projects $12.60 by 2028, while technical analysts warn that losing the 200‑day average and $1.31 support could expose much lower floors near $1.17 or $0.62–$0.88.