Overview

• Bloomberg and other analysts now peg the probability of a U.S. spot XRP ETF approval at roughly 90–95%, with SEC decision windows clustered in October 2025.
• XRP briefly touched $3.04, its highest in nearly two weeks, before trading near the $3 mark on increased volume across major exchanges.
• Derivatives activity has strengthened, with monthly futures demand at about 2.69 billion XRP and CME-listed XRP futures open interest up 74% over 30 days to approximately 386 million XRP.
• Market forecasters model first‑year spot ETF inflows of about $4–8 billion if approved, with several analysts suggesting a potential price range of $4–$5 in that scenario.
• Technical watchers flag resistance near $3.30–$3.50 and seek confirmation closes above key levels, while separate business news saw Ripple expand a digital asset custody partnership with BBVA in Spain.