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World Nuclear Arsenals Grow as Disarmament Era Ends

SIPRI data shows nuclear stockpiles climbed to 12,241 warheads by January 2025, fueled by China’s rapid expansion alongside major modernization programs.

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A formation of China's Dongfeng-41 nuclear missiles.

Overview

  • The United States and Russia together hold about 90% of the world’s nuclear warheads, with inventories of 5,177 and 5,459 respectively.
  • China’s arsenal has grown to roughly 600 warheads by January 2025, reflecting an annual build rate of about 100 new warheads and a projected increase to 1,000 by 2030.
  • India’s nuclear stockpile reached an estimated 180 warheads in 2025 as New Delhi advances canisterized and MIRV-capable missile systems.
  • Pakistan’s arsenal stands at about 170 warheads with continued investment in tactical delivery platforms and fissile material accumulation.
  • All nine nuclear powers are pursuing extensive modernization programs and the looming 2026 expiration of New START heightens concerns over weakening arms control regimes.