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World Bank Warns of Stagnant Global Growth and Rising Economic Risks

Global growth is expected to stabilize at 2.7% through 2025, but challenges like trade tariffs and slow recovery threaten vulnerable economies.

Overview

  • The World Bank projects global economic growth to remain at a modest 2.7% for 2025, insufficient to recover from past economic shocks like the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Developing countries face the weakest long-term growth prospects since 2000, with many falling further behind wealthier nations in closing income gaps.
  • An estimated 622 million people are expected to remain in extreme poverty by 2030, with hunger and undernutrition impacting a similar number of individuals.
  • Proposed U.S. trade tariffs under President Donald Trump could reduce global growth by 0.2 to 0.3 percentage points in 2025, especially if retaliatory measures are implemented.
  • Economic risks include persistent inflation, geopolitical conflicts such as the war in Ukraine and unrest in the Middle East, and weak industrial performance in regions like the Eurozone, particularly Germany.