Overview

• Argentina’s GDP growth is now projected at 4.6% for 2025 and 4.0% for 2026, down from 5.5% and 4.5% in June forecasts.
• The country is still expected to be the region’s second‑fastest grower in 2025—behind Guyana—and the fastest among the larger Latin American economies.
• The rebound is driven chiefly by a post‑drought recovery in agricultural exports and early gains in private consumption and investment tied to an initial stabilization plan that coincided with lower inflation and fiscal surpluses.
• The World Bank cites a tougher global backdrop—elevated interest rates, softer commodity prices, and trade uncertainty including new U.S. tariffs—with regional growth seen at 2.3% in 2025 and 2.5% in 2026, the slowest among world regions.
• Argentina is flagged as an exception on recent fiscal consolidation, yet the report underscores structural constraints such as weak investment and human‑capital gaps, including PISA results that trail peers; Clarín reports about US$4 billion in upcoming World Bank disbursements.