Overview

• Argentina’s GDP is now projected to grow 4.6% in 2025, down from 5.5% forecast in June, with 2026 eased to 4.0%.
• Despite the downgrade, Argentina is expected to be the fastest-growing large economy in Latin America and the second overall after Guyana.
• The report links the rebound to a recovery in agricultural exports following the 2023 drought and early signs of firmer private consumption and investment.
• The World Bank notes disinflation and fiscal surpluses, calling Argentina a distinct recent case of fiscal consolidation within a region facing persistent constraints.
• Regional growth is held to 2.3% in 2025 as high debt, weak investment, and global trade uncertainty weigh, and the bank urges action on human capital, business regulation, and access to finance.