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Wood Mackenzie Projects 24% Surge in Copper Demand by 2035 as Supply Gap Looms

The consultancy warns insufficient new mines plus recycling could lock in years of price volatility.

Overview

  • Global copper demand is forecast to reach roughly 42.7 million tonnes per year by 2035, an increase of about 8.2 million tonnes.
  • Wood Mackenzie attributes the rise to electrification and digitalization, citing electric vehicles, renewable power, grid upgrades, and data centers as core drivers.
  • The energy transition adds material pressure, with renewables expected to require about 2 million tonnes more copper over the next decade and EV-related demand set to double by 2035.
  • Four disruptors could amplify demand by a further 3 million tonnes by 2035: data centers, rapid industrialization in India and Southeast Asia, higher defense spending, and the broader energy transition.
  • Meeting projected needs would require nearly 8 million tonnes of new mine capacity plus about 3.5 million tonnes from recycling by 2035, with prices already up more than 20% this year near $10,200 per tonne.