Overview
- Australia, England and South Africa are through to the semi-finals, with India (+0.526 NRR), New Zealand (−0.245) and Sri Lanka (−1.035) level on four points for the last place.
- India qualify by beating New Zealand or by winning both remaining games; a loss to New Zealand followed by a win over Bangladesh would then require England to defeat New Zealand.
- New Zealand secure progression by beating India and England, while other scenarios rely on India’s result against Bangladesh and net run rate permutations or Pakistan defeating Sri Lanka.
- Sri Lanka must beat Pakistan to stay in contention, then need India to lose both matches, New Zealand to lose to England, and a significant net run rate swing over New Zealand.
- Tournament tie-breakers rank teams by most wins, then net run rate, then head-to-head, placing extra weight on margins in the concluding fixtures from Thursday to Sunday.