Overview

• The WMO reports an 80% probability that at least one year in 2025–2029 will set a new global temperature record.
• Surface temperatures for each year in the period are projected to average between 1.2°C and 1.9°C above pre-industrial levels.
• There is a 70% likelihood that the 2025–2029 five-year average will surpass the 1.5°C limit set by the Paris Agreement.
• Arctic regions are expected to warm over three times faster than the global average, driving accelerated ice loss.
• Climate experts warn that immediate reductions in fossil fuel emissions are essential to limit extreme weather and meet international targets.