Senate Race Now a Toss-Up as Baldwin's Lead Narrows

The Cook Political Report's shift reflects a tightening contest between Democratic incumbent Tammy Baldwin and Republican Eric Hovde, with significant implications for Senate control.

The Cook Political Report reclassified the Wisconsin Senate race from 'lean Democrat' to 'toss-up' following recent polls showing a reduced lead for Sen. Tammy Baldwin.
Baldwin's lead over Republican Eric Hovde has shrunk to just 2 percentage points, down from a 7-point advantage in August, according to the latest Cook Political Report poll.
Hovde's campaign has gained momentum with strong support from Republicans and increasing backing from independent voters, crucial for success in the battleground state.
The race has become one of the most expensive in the country, with significant financial investments from both parties and external political action committees.
A Baldwin defeat in Wisconsin could jeopardize the Democrats' slim Senate majority, as Republicans only need to flip one seat to gain control if they win the presidency.