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Senate Race Now a Toss-Up as Baldwin's Lead Narrows

The Cook Political Report's shift reflects a tightening contest between Democratic incumbent Tammy Baldwin and Republican Eric Hovde, with significant implications for Senate control.

Overview

  • The Cook Political Report reclassified the Wisconsin Senate race from 'lean Democrat' to 'toss-up' following recent polls showing a reduced lead for Sen. Tammy Baldwin.
  • Baldwin's lead over Republican Eric Hovde has shrunk to just 2 percentage points, down from a 7-point advantage in August, according to the latest Cook Political Report poll.
  • Hovde's campaign has gained momentum with strong support from Republicans and increasing backing from independent voters, crucial for success in the battleground state.
  • The race has become one of the most expensive in the country, with significant financial investments from both parties and external political action committees.
  • A Baldwin defeat in Wisconsin could jeopardize the Democrats' slim Senate majority, as Republicans only need to flip one seat to gain control if they win the presidency.

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