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Winter Storm Snarls U.S. Northeast Travel as Germany’s New Year Outlook Splits Forecast Models

Conflicting model guidance leaves Europe’s early‑January winter outlook in flux.

Overview

  • New York and New Jersey declared states of emergency as heavy snow and ice hit the region, with officials urging drivers to stay off the roads.
  • The National Weather Service said the heaviest snow had ended on Saturday morning, easing to scattered snow showers through the day.
  • Flight disruption was extensive, with FlightAware reporting more than 14,400 delayed or canceled domestic flights and about 2,100 canceled international flights, led by JFK, LaGuardia and Newark.
  • Central Park measured around 10 to 11 centimeters of snow and parts of the New York metro area saw up to about 23 centimeters, contributing to hazardous travel and temporary trucking limits in some states.
  • Germany logged its coldest Christmas period since 2010 and widespread black ice, while forecasts diverge for early January, with U.S. and Canadian models signaling a snow‑rich pattern and ECMWF leaning drier, leaving the severity and reach of any outbreak uncertain.