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Wicked’ and ‘Gladiator II’ Drive Box Office Revival With Projected $200M+ Weekend

Universal’s musical adaptation and Paramount’s historical epic are poised to deliver one of the year’s biggest box office weekends, fueled by strong previews and positive early reception.

  • Wicked’ has already earned $19.2 million in previews, including Amazon Prime screenings and Thursday night showings, and is projected to open between $120 million and $140 million domestically.
  • ‘Gladiator II’ garnered $6.5 million in Thursday previews and is expected to debut with $60 million to $80 million in its opening weekend, marking a solid return for the sequel 24 years after the original film.
  • Wicked’ is on track to set a record for the highest domestic opening for a Broadway musical adaptation, surpassing Disney’s ‘Into the Woods’ ($31 million in 2014).
  • The cultural buzz around the ‘Glicked’ pairing is drawing comparisons to 2023’s ‘Barbenheimer,’ though analysts predict the combined weekend gross will fall short of that phenomenon’s $311 million haul.
  • This weekend’s box office performance is expected to boost overall annual ticket sales, which currently lag 11% behind 2023 levels, as theaters aim to capitalize on holiday season momentum.
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