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White House Touts Gaza Ceasefire Breakthrough as Nobel Peace Prize Decision Nears, but Experts See Long Odds for Trump

Nobel watchers say the panel prioritizes durable, multilateral peace over last‑minute deals.

Overview

  • Trump announced a first‑phase IsraelHamas agreement for a pause in fighting and a hostage‑release swap, which Israel, Hamas and Qatar later confirmed.
  • The White House amplified the moment with a social post calling Trump “The Peace President” as the Nobel Peace Prize is set to be announced on Friday in Oslo.
  • Trump publicly downplayed his chances, saying he has “no idea” if he will win and claiming credit for “ending seven wars,” a record experts and some governments dispute.
  • Several high‑profile endorsements for Trump, including from Israel and Pakistan, were publicized after the Jan. 31 nomination deadline and would not count for the 2025 award.
  • Analysts note the five‑member Norwegian Nobel Committee tends to resist lobbying and rewards sustained, multilateral achievements, making Trump a long shot this year.