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White House Pushes Back on $10 Ground Beef Forecast as Migrant Claim Draws Scrutiny

Experts say supply constraints, not migrants bringing cattle, are primarily driving higher beef costs.

Overview

  • Ground beef averaged about $6.32 per pound in September, and Omaha Steaks CEO Nate Rempe predicts $10 by late 2026 due to a 70-year low cattle herd and strong demand.
  • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent linked rising prices to migrants bringing cattle that spread screwworm, a claim reporters note lacks evidence even as screwworm concerns led to a May suspension of Mexican cattle imports.
  • Newsweek reports no confirmed screwworm cases in U.S. cattle and notes officials cite livestock trade risks, not individual migrants traveling with animals.
  • The administration says it is easing some tariffs and facilitating more Argentine beef, while the DOJ reviews major meatpackers over alleged price manipulation.
  • USDA Secretary Brooke Rollins disputes the $10 forecast and says a plan to open 5 million acres for grazing and reopen key cattle ports could start lowering prices by spring or summer 2026.