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8h ago

Western Scotland Tops Early UK White Christmas Odds at 26.7% in Met Office-Based Outlook

Experts say climate change has lowered the odds of the traditional blanket of snow many people expect.

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Overview

  • Met Office statistics put Wales near 20% likelihood for Christmas Day snow, with the north west, southern and south west England at about 13.3%.
  • The Midlands currently carries much slimmer odds at roughly 6.7%, reflecting the broader southward drop-off in chances.
  • The figures are a regional, early-season probability snapshot derived from historical data rather than a short-range forecast.
  • The Met Office defines a White Christmas as snow falling on the day, whereas many people picture widespread lying snow.
  • Western Scotland’s elevated terrain and cooler December climate help explain its higher odds, though the last widespread lying-snow Christmas was in 2010.