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West Coast Ports Brace for Continued Declines Despite U.S.–China Tariff Truce

Port officials report modest booking increases but predict significant May volume drops, with hopes for a strong recovery in June as paused tariffs release cargo backlogs.

Cranes at the Port of Los Angeles are empty of cargo ships as shown with a drone at in San Pedro California, U.S., May 13, 2025. REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo
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Overview

  • The U.S.–China 90-day tariff truce reduced import duties on Chinese goods to 30%, but West Coast ports have yet to see a significant surge in freight activity.
  • The Port of Los Angeles expects May cargo volumes to drop by over 10%, with only a slight uptick in Asian bookings linked to pre-tariff stockpiles rather than new orders.
  • The Port of Oakland reported a 14.7% decline in April container volumes and anticipates similar levels in May due to ongoing trade uncertainty and high tariffs.
  • During the first half of May, 74 container ships arrived at Los Angeles and Long Beach ports, 11 fewer than usual, underscoring a substantial year-over-year traffic decline.
  • Port executives project a strong recovery in June as paused tariffs allow the release of cargo backlogs from Chinese warehouses, potentially stabilizing trade flows.