Overview
- Rep. Wesley Hunt, a two-term Houston-area lawmaker and West Point graduate, launched his 2026 Senate bid on Monday, casting himself as an alternative to Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton.
- Senate Republican leaders and the NRSC are backing Cornyn and publicly urged Hunt not to run, while Cornyn’s team derided Hunt’s move and Paxton’s campaign welcomed him to the race.
- Paxton has led most polls this year as Cornyn has narrowed the gap after heavy outside spending, and in three-way surveys Hunt typically places third; President Trump remains neutral.
- Ad spending and cash positions underscore a high-cost contest, with Cornyn allies airing roughly $19–$21 million in ads this year, Hunt-aligned efforts topping about $6–$6.5 million, and cash on hand around $6 million for Cornyn, $3 million for Hunt, and $2.5 million for Paxton.
- The primary is March 3, 2026, and strategists widely expect no candidate to clear 50%, pointing to a likely late-spring runoff that some analysts say could advantage Paxton’s base voters.