Overview
- Geoeconomic confrontation jumped eight places to the No. 1 risk over the next two years, with 18% of respondents seeing it as most likely to trigger a crisis.
- Misinformation and disinformation rank as the second-highest short-term threat, with societal polarization following closely.
- Concerns over artificial intelligence climbed fastest, rising from 30th last year to fifth among long-term risks on worries about jobs and national security.
- Extreme weather remains the top risk over the next decade, with global insured catastrophe losses estimated at $107 billion in 2025.
- Sixty-eight percent of surveyed leaders expect a more multipolar or fragmented world order within ten years, based on roughly 1,300 responses collected from August to September 2025.