Overview

• Forecasters expect a cold-core coastal low to form Saturday along a stalled front, bringing heavy rain, strong onshore winds and hazardous surf from the Carolinas to parts of the Mid-Atlantic and southern New England.
• Model guidance highlights two paths: a storm that lingers near the Carolinas with prolonged impacts or a track north that spreads rain and wind up the coast for a shorter period.
• Eastern North Carolina, especially the Outer Banks, could see several inches of rain with localized totals near 6 inches, wind gusts up to about 50 mph and a multi-day coastal flooding risk.
• The National Weather Service has Small Craft Advisories and Coastal Flood Alerts along the North Carolina coast through Monday, with dangerous rip currents and high surf already flagged.
• For the New York City region, some forecasts show rain, coastal flooding and 30–40 mph gusts Sunday into Monday, with stronger winds possible along the Jersey Shore and eastern Long Island.