Overview
- Sportsbooks list Kansas City around -2 at Buffalo for the 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff, yet SportsLine’s 10,000-simulation model backs the Bills on the moneyline at roughly +110.
- The model highlights additional high-confidence sides, including Houston to cover versus Denver, the Chargers to cover against Tennessee, and Green Bay to cover a two-touchdown range against Carolina.
- SportsLine promotes multi-leg plays for Week 9, featuring a five-team parlay around 25-1 and a separate longshot combination that could return nearly $18,000 on a $10 stake.
- Injury and availability updates shaping lines include Jayden Daniels and Kyler Murray expected to return, rookie Tyler Shough making his first NFL start for New Orleans, and Buffalo placing defensive lineman Ed Oliver on injured reserve.
- Context for bettors notes a tightening AFC picture with Indianapolis at 7-1 and Kansas City resurgent, while Buffalo’s strong recent home form and Allen’s regular-season edge over Mahomes inform the model’s lean.