Particle.news

Download on the App Store

Week 6 NFL Betting Splits Tilt to Broncos and Lions as Flacco Start and Lamar Absence Move Lines

Model projections shape bettor strategy, highlighting select edges and a Chargers fade.

Overview

  • Sportsbooks say Denver (-7.5 vs. Jets in London) is the most-bet side by tickets, and Lions–Chiefs is the week’s most-bet game with widespread Detroit backing at +2.5.
  • Big numbers headline the slate, including Packers -14.5 vs. the Bengals with Joe Flacco set to start and Rams -7.5 at the Ravens with Lamar Jackson ruled out.
  • Cincinnati drew a surge of wagers after acquiring Flacco, with the Bengals getting the majority of bets and roughly 75% of the money at BetMGM despite being a two-touchdown underdog.
  • SportsLine’s 10,000-simulation model is avoiding the Chargers in survivor pools, backing the Cowboys to cover at Carolina and the Buccaneers to cover against the 49ers, and promoting a five-leg parlay featuring Bills -4.5.
  • Books and analysts detail contrasting public and sharp positions, including early sharp plays on Chiefs -1.5 and Dolphins +5.5, plus notable totals action on Lions–Chiefs to the Over.