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Week 6 College Football: Lines Set as Models Lean Alabama Cover, Points in MiamiFSU

Betting models highlight edges with fresh sportsbook lines setting the tone for the week’s two ranked showdowns.

Overview

  • The only ranked head-to-heads are No. 3 Miami at No. 18 Florida State and No. 16 Vanderbilt at No. 10 Alabama, a rematch after Vanderbilt’s 40–35 upset last season.
  • Current market numbers list Alabama -10.5 versus Vanderbilt and Miami -4.5 at Florida State, with Texas -7 at Florida among other featured spreads.
  • SportsLine’s simulations back Alabama to cover against Vanderbilt in 58% of runs, aligning with the Tide’s recent home success in the series.
  • The model projects the Over in MiamiFlorida State to hit 59% of the time at 54.5, forecasting roughly 60 combined points.
  • Other model-backed edges flag Louisville (-7.5) to cover versus No. 24 Virginia in 60%+ of simulations and Texas (-7) to cover at Florida in nearly 70%.