Overview

• Under the 12-team format, the projection reflects five automatic bids plus seven at-large spots with straight seeding determining byes and home games.
• Committee priorities of strength of schedule, head-to-head results and comparative outcomes are cited as the basis for the ordering.
• South Florida is projected as the Group of Five auto-bid, boosted by wins over Boise State and Florida with its lone loss to unbeaten Miami.
• Projected first-round games are No. 9 Indiana at No. 8 Alabama, No. 10 Georgia at No. 7 Ole Miss, No. 11 Tennessee at No. 6 Texas A&M and No. 12 South Florida at No. 5 Oregon.
• Alabama is slotted ahead of Indiana for a home game based on a tougher schedule and one additional ranked win, and Oklahoma’s QB John Mateer’s injury is noted as a factor the committee could weigh in evaluating a potential loss.