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Week 18 Will Finalize 2026 NFL Draft Order as Raiders Can Clinch No. 1 With a Loss

Strength of schedule tiebreakers will determine the order for teams with matching records.

Overview

  • Las Vegas secures the top pick by losing to the Chiefs, while the Giants retain a conditional path to No. 1 only if the Raiders win and a specific mix of other results occurs, per multiple outlets.
  • After Saturday’s games, live trackers list Detroit at No. 15 with a draft range of Nos. 11–18, and the Buccaneers’ win over the Panthers expanded the Lions’ upward path if Detroit loses in Chicago.
  • The New York Times projects Detroit’s most likely slots as No. 13 (23%) and No. 14 (25%), with less than 1% odds for Nos. 11 or 12 and a 4% chance to fall to No. 18.
  • Strength of schedule remains the primary tiebreaker for identical records, and rooting guides highlight auxiliary results that can swing SOS in tight clusters.
  • Updated lists after Saturday show the Cowboys at No. 13 and the Panthers at No. 14, with the Rams holding Atlanta’s pick and the Jets holding Indianapolis’ pick among the top 18.