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Week 12 Puts CFP Paths on the Line: Notre DamePitt, GeorgiaTexas, OklahomaAlabama Lead Defining Saturday

National focus turns to elimination-style tests that could reshape next week’s College Football Playoff rankings.

Overview

  • Notre Dame’s trip to No. 22 Pittsburgh is framed as make-or-break for both teams, with ESPN College GameDay on site and betting markets listing the Irish as a double-digit road favorite as freshman Mason Heintschel powers Pitt’s resurgence.
  • No. 4 Alabama hosts No. 11 Oklahoma in a matchup where the Sooners cannot afford another loss, while the Tide can solidify their SEC Championship Game position behind Heisman-level QB Ty Simpson, with lines hovering around a touchdown.
  • No. 10 Texas faces a near must-win at No. 5 Georgia, where the Bulldogs are favored by roughly six points as Texas leans on an elite run defense, improving health at the skill spots, and signs of progress from Arch Manning against a low-sack Georgia front.
  • Analysts across outlets describe Week 12 as an elimination window for multiple two-loss contenders and forecast notable movement in the CFP bubble when the committee updates rankings next week.
  • Recent odds and staff picks highlight market expectations for Notre Dame at Pitt (around -10.5 to -12.5) and Georgia over Texas (around -6 to -6.5), as Pitt enters on a five-game win streak and Notre Dame seeks to lock down a 10-2 at-large résumé.