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Week 11 NFL: Odds, Fantasy Guidance and NFC Hierarchy Define Midseason Picture

With only two byes, guidance coalesces before Eagles–Lions and ChiefsBroncos.

Overview

  • Early odds post the Patriots as double‑digit favorites over the Jets on Thursday night, with Miami a 2.5‑point favorite versus Washington in Madrid and Kansas City laying 3.5 at Denver.
  • ESPN analysts flagged Cincinnati +5.5 at Pittsburgh and Miami −2.5 versus Washington as early plays, and one model-backed pick continues to target Patrick Mahomes for MVP at +600.
  • Fantasy outlets emphasize a light bye week (Colts, Saints), with rankings and start/sit advice boosting Tua Tagovailoa against Washington and spotlighting Aaron Rodgers as a viable play versus Cincinnati.
  • CBS Sports’ model downgrades Travis Kelce against Denver’s tight end defense and elevates Rodgers above several higher-ranked quarterbacks based on the Bengals’ allowance of QB production.
  • Power assessments tilt toward the NFC, with FOX Sports asserting the conference’s upper tier is stronger and betting power ratings slotting the Lions and Rams among the top teams entering Week 11, while FanSided’s updated 2026 draft order projects Tennessee at No. 1 with Cleveland ahead of the Jets via tiebreaker.