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Weakened Weather Service Struggles After Deadly Texas Flash Flood

Staffing cuts have degraded the National Weather Service’s capacity, sparking disputes over inaccurate rainfall forecasts, driving a push to upgrade alert technology

Monitors display hurricane models during a news conference at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, on May 30, 2025.
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Overview

  • Flash floods in Texas Hill Country rose 26 feet in under an hour, killing at least 27 people and leaving dozens more missing
  • Texas emergency officials say the National Weather Service underestimated rainfall, with Chief Nim Kidd describing the forecasts as far below what occurred
  • Federal staffing cuts since January have cut almost 600 positions at the National Weather Service, undermining its forecasting and warning capabilities
  • Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem called the alert system “ancient” and pledged that the administration will renew and modernize the technology
  • Persistent vacancies and hiring freezes at NOAA and the National Weather Service have prompted lawmakers like Rep. Jared Huffman to warn that weakened services could cost lives