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Weak La Niña Likely to Develop, Says WMO

The World Meteorological Organization forecasts a 55% chance of a weak and short-lived La Niña forming between December 2024 and February 2025, with limited cooling impact on global temperatures.

  • The WMO predicts a 55% likelihood of La Niña conditions emerging during December 2024 to February 2025, transitioning back to neutral conditions by April 2025.
  • La Niña, characterized by cooling ocean surface temperatures in the Pacific, typically has a temporary cooling effect on global climate patterns.
  • Experts emphasize that this La Niña event, if it occurs, will be weak and brief, insufficient to offset the record-breaking warming caused by greenhouse gases.
  • Despite neutral conditions since May 2024, this year is on track to become the hottest ever recorded, with extreme weather events continuing globally.
  • The WMO highlights the importance of monitoring seasonal climate patterns, as natural phenomena like La Niña are influenced by the broader context of human-induced climate change.
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