Particle.news

Download on the App Store

Watchdog Says Data Centers Drove PJM Capacity Price Surge

PJM is advancing fast‑track changes to tighten load forecasts with new financial security for large customers.

Overview

  • Monitoring Analytics reports data center load added $7.3 billion, or 82%, to the latest PJM capacity auction, lifting it to $16.1 billion, and accounted for $16.6 billion across the last two auctions, about half of their $30.8 billion total.
  • The market monitor says recent conditions are driven by data centers rather than organic growth, warns of unprecedented forecast uncertainty, and recommends requiring new facilities to provide their own generation.
  • PJM’s fast‑track proposal includes stronger data‑center load forecasting, state review of large‑load adjustments, checks for duplicative proposals, and financial‑security postings, with a member vote planned for Nov. 19 and a FERC filing targeted by year‑end.
  • The most recent auction cleared about $3.2 billion lower due to a cost cap tied to Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro, and the monitor notes larger impacts are likely once those caps expire in the 2028/2029 auction.
  • Separate analyses highlight consumer costs, including about $4.4 billion in 2024 transmission projects linked to data centers being allocated to ratepayers, and an NRDC projection of roughly $163 billion in capacity charges from 2027–2032 with around $70 a month added by 2028 if data‑center growth continues.