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Wastewater Signals Autumn COVID Rise in Germany at Lower Levels Than 2024

Reduced testing leaves wastewater surveillance as the clearest signal of a milder uptick.

Overview

  • RKI’s GrippeWeb estimate rose to about 600 cases per 100,000 people for Oct 6–12, up from roughly 400 the week prior and well below around 1100 in the same week last year.
  • National wastewater readings show roughly 67,000 SARS‑CoV‑2 gene copies per liter in October 2025, increasing in recent weeks but below the more than 100,000 measured in October 2024.
  • Germany has 163 COVID-19 patients in intensive care, a slight rise and about half last year’s level, with no COVID deaths reported to the RKI so far this autumn.
  • In the Augsburg district, the health office reports more COVID cases, most schools see typical October illness levels, and one gymnasium had over 10% of scheduled teachers absent.
  • Wertachkliniken report about 30% fewer respiratory cases than 2024 but are treating one ICU patient with bilateral COVID pneumonia, and the ‘Stratus’ variant is cited as dominant in Bavaria with WHO assessing low risk though local confirmation is limited.