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Fed Holds Rate After 9–3 Vote Under New Chair Warsh

The pause leaves markets weighing a September hike because inflation remains above the Fed's 2 percent goal driven by energy-price shocks and rising policy uncertainty.

Overview

  • The Federal Reserve left the federal funds target at 3.50–3.75 percent in a 9–3 vote on Wednesday, with three regional presidents preferring a 25 basis-point increase.
  • Kevin Warsh, who became Fed chair in May, stressed that fighting persistent inflation is a priority and announced expert groups to review inflation causes and data quality.
  • President Donald Trump publicly praised Warsh while privately pressing for lower rates, raising concerns among analysts about political pressure on the Fed's independence.
  • Markets reacted with increased volatility as traders recalibrated odds for a possible September hike, selling stocks and pushing long-term Treasury yields higher.
  • With June CPI near 3.5 percent and oil-driven price shocks cited as a key driver, the Fed faces a difficult choice between tighter policy to tame inflation and the risk of hurting growth and jobs.