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Warnings Mount as UK Weighs Sharp Gambling Tax Increases Before 26 November Budget

The chancellor is weighing steep duty rises after rival studies clashed over revenue gains versus losses to unlicensed operators.

Overview

  • Industry-commissioned PwC research reports UK online black‑market share at roughly 6% with channelisation down from 99% in 2020 to 94% in 2024.
  • BGC-cited EY analysis says proposed hikes could put over 40,000 jobs at risk, divert £8.4bn in stakes to unlicensed sites and cut £3.1bn from the sector’s economic contribution.
  • BGC modelling forecasts that lifting Machine Games Duty to 50% would close about 3,464 betting shops, cut 25,086 jobs and remove £84m from horseracing’s funding.
  • Reports indicate the Treasury is considering raising General Betting Duty from 15% to as high as 30% and increasing online gaming duties up to 50%, with horse racing bets reportedly excluded.
  • The IPPR urges higher levies to raise roughly £3.2bn for social programmes, while a Treasury Committee report cautions ministers not to accept industry scaremongering on black‑market claims.