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Wall Street Pauses for Nvidia’s Q2 Report as Options Point to $260 Billion Swing

The AI chipmaker’s outsized index weight makes its guidance a market compass.

Trader Michael Milano left, works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Monday, Aug. 18, 2025. (AP Photo/Richard Drew)
This photo, taken Aug. 27, 2025, shows the dealing room of Hana Bank in Seoul. (Yonhap)

Overview

  • Nvidia reports after Wednesday’s closing bell, with investors treating the update as a key read on AI infrastructure demand.
  • Options pricing implies roughly a 6% post‑earnings move, or about a $260 billion change in market value.
  • Analysts expect second‑quarter revenue of about $46 billion, up roughly 53% from a year ago.
  • With close to 8% of the S&P 500 by weight, Nvidia’s share reaction could meaningfully sway benchmark indexes.
  • Focus areas include China‑related chip sales and U.S. policy arrangements, alongside lingering market risk from President Trump’s attempted removal of Fed Governor Lisa Cook and the legal fight it prompted.